Pre-tourney Rankings
Missouri Valley
2013-14


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
7 Wichita St. 100.0%   2   33 - 0 18 - 0 33 - 0 18 - 0 +16.9      +8.0 17 +8.8 12 66.1 223 +25.8 1 +20.1 1
96 Northern Iowa 0.0%   15 - 15 10 - 8 15 - 15 10 - 8 +5.0      +5.8 41 -0.7 196 66.0 224 +2.7 132 +2.4 3
115 Indiana St. 0.0%   21 - 10 12 - 6 21 - 10 12 - 6 +3.7      +0.9 151 +2.8 97 67.6 177 +6.5 78 +5.8 2
150 Illinois St. 0.0%   15 - 15 9 - 9 15 - 15 9 - 9 +1.4      -2.3 237 +3.7 79 73.2 62 +1.8 139 +1.4 6
151 Missouri St. 0.0%   19 - 12 9 - 9 19 - 12 9 - 9 +1.3      +1.4 139 -0.2 173 64.8 256 +4.6 107 +1.4 5
159 Southern Illinois 0.0%   13 - 19 9 - 9 13 - 19 9 - 9 +0.5      +0.4 165 +0.1 168 62.6 296 -1.9 193 +1.5 4
176 Drake 0.0%   14 - 16 6 - 12 14 - 16 6 - 12 -0.9      +0.3 167 -1.3 210 63.9 275 +0.1 166 -2.7 9
199 Bradley 0.0%   12 - 20 7 - 11 12 - 20 7 - 11 -2.2      -2.8 249 +0.6 153 63.5 286 -4.1 237 -1.0 7
204 Evansville 0.0%   12 - 19 6 - 12 12 - 19 6 - 12 -2.4      -1.6 216 -0.8 198 69.9 125 -1.8 189 -2.5 8
231 Loyola Chicago 0.0%   9 - 22 4 - 14 9 - 22 4 - 14 -4.1      -1.4 211 -2.7 240 61.9 311 -6.3 271 -5.6 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Wichita St. 1.0 100.0
Northern Iowa 3.0 100.0
Indiana St. 2.0 100.0
Illinois St. 4.0 100.0
Missouri St. 4.0 100.0
Southern Illinois 4.0 100.0
Drake 8.0 100.0
Bradley 7.0 100.0
Evansville 8.0 100.0
Loyola Chicago 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Wichita St. 18 - 0 100.0
Northern Iowa 10 - 8 100.0
Indiana St. 12 - 6 100.0
Illinois St. 9 - 9 100.0
Missouri St. 9 - 9 100.0
Southern Illinois 9 - 9 100.0
Drake 6 - 12 100.0
Bradley 7 - 11 100.0
Evansville 6 - 12 100.0
Loyola Chicago 4 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Wichita St. 100.0% 100.0
Northern Iowa
Indiana St.
Illinois St.
Missouri St.
Southern Illinois
Drake
Bradley
Evansville
Loyola Chicago


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Wichita St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 2   45.1 43.1 10.3 1.5 0.0
Northern Iowa 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Indiana St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Illinois St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Missouri St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Drake 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Bradley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Evansville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Loyola Chicago 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Wichita St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 95.1% 65.5% 37.9% 20.2% 10.1% 4.7%
Northern Iowa 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Indiana St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Illinois St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Missouri St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Drake 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bradley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Evansville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola Chicago 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 95.1% 1.0 4.9 95.1
Sweet Sixteen 65.5% 0.7 34.5 65.5
Elite Eight 37.9% 0.4 62.1 37.9
Final Four 20.2% 0.2 79.8 20.2
Final Game 10.1% 0.1 89.9 10.1
Champion 4.7% 0.0 95.3 4.7